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What is likely to happen to GBP/USD in November 2025
The GBP/USD rate is likely to stay under pressure over the next month.
Ongoing worries about UK economic policy, weaker growth, and diverging interest rate expectations favor a stronger Dollar and a weaker Pound in the near term.
If you’re watching exchange rates for sending GBP to the US, be prepared for continued volatility and possibly weaker Pound levels ahead.
Watch 1.3080 closely, a drop below that could mean worse rates for GBP senders.
GBP to USD: Where It Stands
The British Pound and US Dollar have been bouncing in a narrow range, mostly between 1.30 and 1.34, but the market is getting closer to a big move.
Right now, GBP/USD is trading around 1.31 to 1.32, near key technical support levels.
What’s Driving GBP to USD?
A few major economic factors are impacting the Pound versus the Dollar this month:
Interest Rates
The US Federal Reserve is keeping interest rates higher for longer due to strong inflation numbers. This supports the US Dollar.
Meanwhile, the Bank of England is expected to cut rates soon, which weakens the Pound.
UK Economy Concerns
The UK government’s new budget (expected late November) is likely to introduce spending cuts or tax increases.
This could slow the economy even more and hurt confidence in the Pound.
Global Uncertainty
Ongoing concerns like the US government shutdown, China trade tensions, and high inflation are pushing people toward the US Dollar, which is seen as a safer currency in uncertain times.
Overall, the macroeconomic direction favors the US Dollar in the short term, putting pressure on the Pound.
What Do the Charts Say?
The technical trends are also not looking great for the Pound right now:
Key Resistance: GBP/USD faces strong resistance around 1.3434 to 1.3470. To turn bullish, the Pound needs to close above this area.
Key Support: The current support area is between 1.3140 to 1.3080. If the pair drops below this range, it could fall quickly to 1.30 or even 1.2940.
Patterns: Chart patterns like a bearish “H-pattern” and a breakdown from the October trading range suggest a downward trend may continue without fresh positive news.
What to Watch in Next Month
November 26 UK Budget: This will likely contain tax hikes or spending cuts, which could weaken the Pound further.
Bank of England Rate Decision: Expected in early December, this could be the start of rate cuts if the UK economy looks weak, adding downward pressure on GBP.
US Economic Reports: Inflation and jobs data from the US could push rates even higher, favoring the Dollar.
Any Change in US Federal Reserve Tone: If the Fed signals lower rates in 2025, it could temporarily help the Pound climb again.
Risks Ahead
The biggest risk is a sharp drop in GBP/USD if the UK budget disappoints investors, inflation stays high, and the Bank of England cuts rates too aggressively.
On the flip side, surprise weakness in US inflation data or a more supportive BoE tone could limit the losses or trigger a short-term bounce in the Pound.
What This Means If You’re Sending GBP to USD Abroad
If you plan to send British Pounds to US Dollars in the next few weeks, it may get more expensive.
The Pound has been weakening, and unless it bounces strongly soon, it could fall toward 1.30 or even 1.29. That means you’ll get fewer US Dollars for every Pound.
If you can’t wait to send money, consider converting part now and watching the market for better rates.
If the Pound bounces, you could send more at a slightly better exchange rate.
Live GBP to USD exchange rates
Converting GBP to USD
If you are planning to send GBP to USA, you need to pick the right money transfer company to get the most USD on the other end.
Depending on your needs, it's best to use one of the following companies in November:
History of the GBP to USD
The GBP/USD forex exchange rate has had a long history because of the strong business and social ties between the United States and the United Kingdom.
The British pound was created in 1694 after the UK formed the Bank of England (BoE) while the US dollar was created in 1794.
The GBP/USD currency pair was nicknamed the cable because of the transatlantic cables that connected the UK and the US.
These cables were connected to submarines, which relayed the exchange rate between the two currencies.
For a long time, the decline of the British economy on the global stage has witnessed a fall in its market share.
This decline accelerated when the UK gave up many of its colonial countries in Europe, Asia, and South America.
At the same time, this decline coincided with the strong performance of the United States as a superpower.
| Date | 1 Pound Sterling in USD |
|---|---|
| Nov 08, 2025 | 1.315900 USD |
| Nov 09, 2025 | 1.313983 USD |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1.317295 USD |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1.315305 USD |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1.312741 USD |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1.315123 USD |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1.316000 USD |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1.315050 USD |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1.315824 USD |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1.316049 USD |
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