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What is likely to happen to USD/AUD in October 2025
USD to AUD is now around 0.66 to 0.67, and the AUD is trending stronger.
This strength is due to rising Aussie inflation, higher commodity prices, and possible US rate cuts.
Technical patterns suggest more upside, with key levels to watch around 0.6580 (support) and 0.6760 (resistance).
If you're sending USD to Australia, now may be a smart time, as the Aussie dollar could go higher and make your money worth less in AUD terms later.
Watch US and Australian inflation data this month, they could move the exchange rate quickly.
USD to AUD: Where It Stands
Right now, 1 US dollar gets you around 0.66 to 0.67 Australian dollars.
Over the last few weeks, this exchange rate has moved quite a bit, but recently, AUD is gaining strength against the USD.
The pair pulled back slightly following a stronger US dollar, but overall momentum still supports more Aussie strength in the near term, especially if key data from the US shows a weaker economic outlook.
What’s Driving USD to AUD?
Several big-picture forces affect how the US dollar and Australian dollar stack up.
First, inflation and interest rate decisions in both countries play a key role.
Recent strong inflation numbers in Australia (3.0% annual CPI) mean there’s less chance the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut interest rates soon. This supports the Aussie dollar.
In contrast, in the US, inflation is cooling and job data is weakening.
That has traders thinking the US Federal Reserve may cut interest rates earlier than expected, weakening the US dollar.
Second, commodity prices matter for Australia.
Prices for iron ore, gold, and copper, which Australia exports, are rising, helping to strengthen the AUD.
Lastly, the market attitude toward risk is important.
When investors feel more confident (called “risk-on”), the Australian dollar usually benefits because it’s considered a riskier but more rewarding currency.
What Do the Charts Say?
Technical analysis, which examines price patterns and momentum, shows that the AUD may continue rising.
The key resistance zone (a barrier to AUD moving higher) is around 0.6700 to 0.6760. If it breaks and stays above this level, the next target could be 0.6900 or even higher in the coming weeks.
On the downside, support is seen at 0.6580 and 0.6545. As long as the pair stays above these levels, the overall trend remains favorable for the Australian dollar.
Patterns like the “inverse head and shoulders” and “bull hammer” in longer charts suggest more long-term upside for AUD/USD.
What to Watch Next Month
In the coming weeks, several events could move the USD to AUD rate:
US economic data, especially inflation and jobs reports: Weak numbers will likely push the USD lower.
Australian inflation data: If Aussie inflation remains strong, the RBA may hold off on cutting rates, lifting the AUD.
Decisions and speeches from central banks: Both the Fed and RBA could shift market expectations based on what they say about interest rates.
Commodity prices: Continued strength in iron ore and gold would support the Aussie dollar.
Risks Ahead
Not everything is pointing up for the Australian dollar. Some analysts warn that recent AUD strength may be short-lived if:
The US economy surprises with strong growth or jobs numbers, boosting the USD.
China’s economy slows again, and Australia depends on China for much of its exports.
Geopolitical tensions or sudden shocks shake investor confidence, making the safer US dollar more attractive temporarily.
What This Means If You’re Sending USD to AUD Abroad
If you're planning to send US dollars to Australia, the exchange rate could shift in your favor if you act soon.
Right now, the AUD is gaining strength. That means your US dollars buy fewer Aussie dollars than they did just a couple of weeks ago, and that trend may continue.
For example, $1,000 might have bought 1,700 AUD earlier, but soon may get only 1,650 or less if the exchange rate moves to 0.6750 or higher.
If you're waiting to send money, keep an eye on the 0.6700 level. If the AUD breaks above this and stays up, it’s likely you’ll get fewer AUD for your USD later on.
So if you’re thinking of sending money soon, now could be a better time than later this month, before the AUD gets even stronger.
Live USD to AUD exchange rates
Converting USD to AUD
If you are planning to send USD to Australia, you need to pick the right money transfer company to get the most AUD on the other end.
Depending on your needs, it's best to use one of the following companies in October:
Money transfer company | USD/AUD exchange rate | USD/AUD fee | USD/AUD transfer time | AUD received |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Wise (Best USD/AUD rate) | 1.5452 USD/AUD | 26.86 | same day | 10,775.17 |
Key Currency (Lowest Fee) | 1.5415 USD/AUD | 0 | minutes - 3 days | 10,790.36 |
MoneyGram (Overall cheapest) | 1.5144 USD/AUD | 490.00000000000006 | minutes - 24 hours | 9,858.99 |
Wise (Fastest Option) | 1.5452 USD/AUD | 26.86 | same day | 10,775.17 |
*Based on our data of $7,000 transfer from the USA to Australia in October 2025. For other amounts, please run a live search to get the best exchange rate.
History of the USD to AUD pair
The US and Australia have had a friendly relationship and have always done trading with each other. In the past, the US dollar and the Australian pound were used for trading.
However, in February, Australia moved from the pound and introduced the Australian dollar, commonly known as the AUD.
The ISO standard for the Australian dollar and the US dollar is AUD/USD.
The USD/AUD pair has had its lows and downs over the years. Between 1980 and 2001, the pair jumped by 148% as it moved from a low of 0.8476 to a high of 2.10.
It then declined by ~56% from its highest level in 2001 to a low of 0.9101 in August 2011.
Since then, the pair has been in an overall upward trend. It has risen by about 15% in the past five years.
The Australian dollar is usually affected by a number of factors.
First, it is affected by the overall commodity prices since Australia is well-known for its vast natural resources, which include coal, copper, and iron ore.
Second, the Chinese economy plays a huge role in the Australian economy because of the vast volume of trade that happens between the two countries.
According to Lowy Institute, China buys more than two-thirds of all commodities that Australia produces.
Further, like other currency pairs, USD/AUD pair reacts to geopolitics and actions by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Federal Reserve (Fed).
| Date | 1 US Dollar in AUD |
|---|---|
| Oct 05, 2025 | 1.516783 AUD |
| Oct 06, 2025 | 1.511442 AUD |
| Oct 07, 2025 | 1.519755 AUD |
| Oct 08, 2025 | 1.518764 AUD |
| Oct 09, 2025 | 1.524185 AUD |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 1.543704 AUD |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1.532332 AUD |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 1.538911 AUD |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1.535780 AUD |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1.540595 AUD |
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