USD to TWD Forecast - February 2026
If you're planning to send money from the U.S. to Taiwan in the next month, here’s a simple breakdown of what’s going on with the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar (USD) and the Taiwan dollar (TWD), and what it means for you.
USD/TWD is currently trading at 31.539504.
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What is likely to happen to USD/TWD in February 2026
USD to TWD is likely to stay mostly rangebound next month, with 31.6 to 31.8 as support and 32.3 to 32.6 as resistance. Softer USD sentiment can help TWD at times, but reduced insurer hedging and Taiwan’s preference for a not-too-strong TWD can limit gains, so expect bumps and short-lived moves rather than a smooth trend.
USD to TWD: Where It Stands
A quick snapshot before the forecast.USD to TWD has been choppy, with the Taiwan dollar no longer under heavy selling pressure, but still not getting strong, steady support either. The near-term tone is slightly USD-favorable, meaning it is a bit easier for USD to buy TWD than it was during the TWD’s stronger stretches.
The big picture is a tug of war: softer overall USD sentiment versus Taiwan-specific factors that can limit TWD strength.
What’s Driving USD to TWD?
The main forces moving the exchange rate right now.
1) The US dollar’s mood is softer, but not collapsing: Broader USD momentum has weakened recently, which usually helps Asian currencies, including TWD. Still, the USD can bounce quickly around major US data and policy headlines.
2) Taiwan’s central bank prefers stability, not a surging TWD: Taiwan is enjoying strong export growth led by advanced semiconductors, but policymakers often resist excessive TWD strengthening to protect exporter competitiveness. That can cap how far USD to TWD falls.
3) A key Taiwan flow is fading: insurers are hedging less: Taiwan’s life insurers have reduced currency hedging to record lows. In plain terms, that can mean less “automatic” buying of TWD from hedging activity, which removes a steady support beam for the Taiwan dollar.
4) Risk sentiment matters more than usual: With less hedging support, USD to TWD can react more sharply to global “risk-on” and “risk-off” swings. Strong equity mood can help TWD a bit, but sudden fear can push USD higher fast.
What Do the Charts Say?
A simple guide to the key levels people watch.
USD to TWD looks rangebound, not in a clean trend. For the next month, these zones are the practical map:
Support (USD weaker, TWD stronger): 31.6 to 31.8If the pair falls into this area, it may struggle to drop further unless the USD broadly weakens.
Resistance (USD stronger, TWD weaker): 32.3 to 32.6If the pair rises into this area, it may stall unless there is a clear USD-positive catalyst.
A likely base case is continued trading between these zones, with short bursts outside the range around major headlines.
What to Watch in the Next Month
The upcoming triggers that can move your transfer rate.
US data and Fed expectations: Jobs and inflation surprises can quickly change USD direction. If markets start expecting higher US rates again, USD to TWD can jump.
Taiwan export and tech cycle headlines: Taiwan’s AI-chip strength is a real tailwind for the economy, but any signs of cooling orders or inventory buildup can weaken TWD.
Insurer behavior and hedging costs: If hedging drops further, it can quietly tilt the balance toward a firmer USD to TWD.
Risks Ahead
What could break the “calm range” view.
Sudden risk-off shock: Geopolitics or global equity selloffs can push investors into USD quickly.
US policy headlines: Trade and tariff news can swing the USD, and Taiwan is sensitive due to export dependence.
Crowded positioning shifts in Asia FX: If the market rushes out of Asia currency longs, TWD can get pulled weaker even without local bad news.
What This Means If You’re Sending USD to TWD Abroad
How to turn this outlook into simple actions.
If you are sending USD to Taiwan (buying TWD), the next month looks like a range market with occasional spikes. That means timing can help, but you are unlikely to get a perfect straight-line improvement.
Practical approach:
If USD to TWD moves down toward 31.6 to 31.8, that is usually a better window to send because your USD buys fewer TWD when the number is lower, so you may want to wait for higher levels if you can.
If USD to TWD moves up toward 32.3 to 32.6, that is usually a better window to send because your USD buys more TWD when the number is higher.
If your transfer is urgent, consider splitting into 2 to 3 smaller transfers over a few days to reduce bad-luck timing.
Live USD to TWD exchange rates
Converting USD to TWD
If you are planning to send USD to Taiwan, you need to pick the right money transfer company to get the most TWD on the other end.
Depending on your needs, it's best to use one of the following companies in February:
Money transfer company | USD/TWD exchange rate | USD/TWD fee | USD/TWD transfer time | TWD received |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Revolut (Best USD/TWD rate) | 31.4764 USD/TWD | 21 | minutes - 5 days | 219,673.97 |
OFX (Lowest Fee) | 31.3818 USD/TWD | 0 | minutes - 24 hours | 219,672.65 |
Revolut (Overall cheapest) | 31.4764 USD/TWD | 21 | minutes - 5 days | 219,673.97 |
OFX (Fastest Option) | 31.3818 USD/TWD | 0 | minutes - 24 hours | 219,672.65 |
*Based on our data of $7,000 transfer from the USA to Taiwan in February 2026. For other amounts, please .
USD to TWD history
Taiwan and the US have had trade ties for decades. The US dollar was established in the 1800s while the new Taiwan dollar was created in 1949.
At the time, it replaced the old Taiwan dollar, which was plagued by hyperinflation of the time.
Today, Taiwan has emerged as an economic powerhouse because of its strong industrial base.
It is mostly known for its semiconductor industry, which is the backbone of the modern economy.
In terms of market cap, Taiwan’s Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is the second-biggest semiconductor manufacturer in the world after Nvidia.
It has become one of the most important companies in the world because it innovated the fabless foundry concept in 1987 and manufactures most of the chips we use today.
The US and Taiwan have strong economic relations. Data from the Commerce Department showed that the total trade volume of the two countries stands at over $120 billion.
The US exports to the country are worth about $47.3 billion while imports are worth over $86 billion. This leaves the total trade deficit at about $40 billion.
The USD/TWD has been a relatively stable currency over the years. It peaked at 40.59 in 1985 and then reached an all-time low of 24.50 in 1992.
As shown below, since 1999, the pair has remained between the support at 27.27 and the resistance at 35.25.
This is a relatively small standard deviation compared to other currencies.
Its stability is likely because the USD/TWD is not a popular pair among speculators.
Therefore, its price action is mostly determined by supply and demand dynamics, which are affected by the overall trade volume between the two countries.
| Date | 1 US Dollar in TWD |
|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | 31.431902 TWD |
| Feb 13, 2026 | 31.384038 TWD |
| Feb 14, 2026 | 31.384038 TWD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | 31.384040 TWD |
| Feb 16, 2026 | 31.367001 TWD |
| Feb 17, 2026 | 31.390984 TWD |
| Feb 18, 2026 | 31.544101 TWD |
| Feb 19, 2026 | 31.593503 TWD |
| Feb 20, 2026 | 31.539504 TWD |
| Feb 21, 2026 | 31.539504 TWD |
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